> THE FEE MACHINE

How banks profit at every step of the PE/PC chain

0.0%
ROE — PC Lending
Return on equity lending to private credit funds
0.0%
ROE — Traditional C&I
Return on equity for commercial & industrial loans
0.0x
ROE Multiple
Banks earn nearly 4x the return on PC lending
$0B
NDFI Lending
Total non-depository financial institution exposure
Banks earn nearly 4x the return lending to private credit funds vs. traditional C&I loans

THE FEE CHAIN — HOW BANKS CLIP EVERY TICKET

1
PE Firm does LBOPROFIT

Acquires company at 10-14x EBITDA with 60-70% debt

2
Bank arranges debtPROFIT

$3.5-8M in fees per $100M of debt arranged

3
Bank warehouses loansPROFIT

Earns SOFR + 200-400bp spread while holding

4
Bank packages into CLOPROFIT

1-2% structuring fee on the entire vehicle

5
CLO senior tranche rated AAARISK TRANSFER

Rating agencies bless junk loans repackaged as 'safe'

6
PE-owned insurer buys trancheRISK TRANSFER

Athene, Global Atlantic, Fortitude Re

7
Insurer reports at amortized costRISK TRANSFER

No mark-to-market = no visible losses

8
Backed by: annuity holders, pension beneficiaries, retail investorsEND HOLDERS

The ultimate bag-holders in the chain

BANK COMMITMENTS — THE BIG PLAYERS

NamePC Commit ($B)NDFI ($B)IB Fees ($B)CLO ($B)PE Partner
JPMorgan Chase$50B$310B$10B$45B
Goldman Sachs$145B$250B$9.3B$35BCapital Solutions Group (internal)
Bank of America$25B$200B$7B$40B
Citigroup$25B$180B$6B$30BApollo + Mubadala
Morgan Stanley$30B$150B$5B$25B
Wells Fargo$7B$120B$4B$20BCenterbridge Partners
Barclays$20B$90B$4B$20B
Deutsche Bank$15B$80B$3B$15B
Norinchukin Bank (Japan)$54B
9 banks tracked

PER $100M LBO — WHERE THE FEES GO

Underwriting$2M – $2.25M

Commitment and arrangement fees for structuring the debt package

OID (Original Issue Discount)$0.5M – $1M

Loan sold below par — bank pockets the difference

Syndication$1M – $5M

Fees for distributing loan to other lenders and CLOs

Advisory$1M – $2M

M&A advisory fees on the enterprise value of the deal

TOTAL PER $100M$4.5M – $10.3M

On a $5B LBO, the arranging bank earns $175M–$400M in total fees — risk-free.

THE INTERCONNECTION PROBLEM

$1.32T+
NDFI Lending (quadrupled since 2016)
100%
Of bank lending growth in 2025 = NDFI
40%
PC borrowers with negative free cash flow
Up from 25% in 2021
47.8%
Big Four banks' share of all NDFI exposure

SYSTEMIC RISK: The same banks that arrange PE debt, warehouse it, package it into CLOs, and sell it to PE-owned insurers are also the counterparty on credit lines to those same PE firms. A single credit event cascades through every link.

THE COUNTERPARTY WEB

The same firms appear at every node of the chain. Capital doesn't leave the loop — it just changes labels.

PE FIRMS

Originate deals, collect fees, own insurers

BANKS

Arrange debt, warehouse loans, provide credit lines

INSURERS

PE-owned, buy CLO tranches, report at cost

CLOs

Repackage B-rated loans as "AAA"

← →
SAME COUNTERPARTY
AT EVERY STEP
↑ ↓
PE FirmBankCLOInsurerPE Firm
CONCRETE EXAMPLES — FOLLOW THE MONEY
Apollo → Athene → CLO tranche → JPM warehouse → Apollo fund
KKR → Global Atlantic → KKR CLO → GS credit line → KKR
Blackstone → Corebridge (ex-AIG) → BX CLO → JPM → Blackstone

CIRCULAR RISK: When the same entity sits on both sides of every transaction, "diversification" is an illusion. A default at any node propagates to all others instantly — because they are all the same counterparty.

STRUCTURED PRODUCT FLOW — HOW THE RISK GETS PASSED

Take $500M of B/B- rated leveraged loans. Slice them into tranches. The top slice gets a AAA rating despite the underlying collateral being junk.

$500M CLO STRUCTURE
AAA
AA
A
BBB
BB/Equity
AAA (65%)AA (10%)A (8%)BBB (5%)BB/Equity (12%)
TrancheRating% of Deal$ AmountBuyerSpread
AAAAAA65%$325MPE-owned insurers, pension funds, Japanese banksSOFR + 130-160bp
AAAA10%$50MInsurance companies, bank treasuriesSOFR + 180-220bp
AA8%$40MInsurance companies, asset managersSOFR + 240-280bp
BBBBBB5%$25MHedge funds, opportunity fundsSOFR + 400-500bp
BB/EquityBB/NR12%$60MCLO managers, PE firms (retained risk)12-20% target return

ALCHEMY: The AAA tranche gets a pristine rating despite the underlying collateral being B/B- rated junk leveraged loans. Same structure, same logic as 2007 CDOs. The rating agencies earn fees for grading them — just like last time.

NORINCHUKIN BANK (JAPAN): $54B in CLO holdings — the world's largest single CLO investor. Lost $9.3B in FY2024 on CLO markdowns. Japanese farmers' deposits backing leveraged US buyout debt. The poster child for how structured products pass PE risk to unexpected end holders.

BANK PROFILES

Goldman Sachs

#1 Lev Fin
PC: $145BNDFI: $250BCLO: $35BIB Fees: $9.3B

#1 leveraged lending arranger. $145B alternative credit AUM. Capital Solutions Group bridges bank lending and PE. IB fees $9.3B. Top CLO structurer. Goldman is both lender and advisor to the same PE firms.

JPMorgan Chase

#2 Lev Fin
PC: $50BNDFI: $310BCLO: $45BIB Fees: $10B

Largest US bank. 100+ private credit deals since 2021. $50B committed to direct lending. Dominant in leveraged finance origination. Jamie Dimon warned about 'cracks in private credit' while simultaneously expanding PC commitment.

Bank of America

#3 Lev Fin
PC: $25BNDFI: $200BCLO: $40BIB Fees: $7B

$25B private credit commitment announced Feb 2026. Hold-to-maturity model. NDFI exposure growing rapidly. Top-3 leveraged finance arranger. Advisory fees surging from PE deal flow.

Citigroup

#4 Lev Fin
PC: $25BNDFI: $180BCLO: $30BIB Fees: $6B

$25B partnership with Apollo for private credit origination. Mubadala joint venture. Citi earns fees at every step: advisory, underwriting, syndication, CLO structuring. Classic fee machine model.

Morgan Stanley

#5 Lev Fin
PC: $30BNDFI: $150BCLO: $25BIB Fees: $5B

Advisory revenue up 47% YoY driven by PE deal flow. $235B in alternative investments via MSIM. Growing direct lending via Morgan Stanley Capital Partners. Cross-selling IB and wealth management to PE firms.

Wells Fargo

#6 Lev Fin
PC: $7BNDFI: $120BCLO: $20BIB Fees: $4B

$7B deployed via Overland Advantage BDC with Centerbridge. Smaller PC player than peers but growing fast. Wells earns origination and advisory fees on top of lending spread.

Barclays

#7 Lev Fin
PC: $20BNDFI: $90BCLO: $20BIB Fees: $4B

Total revenue $38.4B. Major European leveraged finance arranger. Growing US direct lending exposure. CLO structuring business expanding. UK-based but increasingly US PE-connected.

Deutsche Bank

#8 Lev Fin
PC: $15BNDFI: $80BCLO: $15BIB Fees: $3B

IB revenue up 10% YoY. DWS subsidiary manages $119B in alternatives. European leveraged finance originator. Cross-border PE deal flow growing.

Norinchukin Bank (Japan)

$9.3B LOSSES
CLO: $54B

Japanese agricultural cooperative bank. $54B in CLO holdings — world's largest single CLO investor. Lost $9.3B in FY2024 on CLO markdowns. The poster child for how structured products pass PE risk to unexpected end holders. Japanese farmers' deposits backing leveraged US buyout debt.